Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.242528 3.305215e-01 0.434030 0.562711 0.716315 0.891785 1.105327
2026-01-04 0.126639 2.260190e-01 0.363790 0.559019 0.818828 1.143383 1.569752
2026-01-11 0.060308 1.493483e-01 0.297497 0.536280 0.886501 1.357664 2.014696
2026-01-18 0.027139 1.002871e-01 0.248910 0.520187 0.953789 1.574087 2.480796
2026-01-25 0.012076 7.149208e-02 0.219803 0.522987 1.043942 1.826599 3.012683
2026-02-01 0.003888 4.645830e-02 0.183655 0.501079 1.087981 2.012387 3.461313
2026-02-08 0.001424 3.594747e-02 0.174070 0.524815 1.207654 2.318075 4.097590
2026-02-15 0.000277 2.530884e-02 0.156422 0.526006 1.285898 2.562678 4.654745
2026-02-22 0.000057 2.151237e-02 0.157651 0.568512 1.442484 2.940315 5.427248
2026-03-01 0.000001 1.696276e-02 0.152409 0.593883 1.568224 3.273504 6.144320
2026-03-08 NaN 1.208177e-02 0.140582 0.599192 1.654297 3.544143 6.773824
2026-03-15 NaN 7.660304e-03 0.124347 0.587500 1.703579 3.753494 7.313453
2026-03-22 NaN 5.290400e-03 0.116494 0.598412 1.802926 4.058472 8.023583
2026-03-29 NaN 3.295503e-03 0.106360 0.599292 1.880712 4.329614 8.689522
2026-04-05 NaN 1.578362e-03 0.091084 0.577779 1.906154 4.508052 9.210854
2026-04-12 NaN 6.784160e-04 0.078991 0.562013 1.941724 4.705367 9.768620
2026-04-19 NaN 3.142024e-04 0.072722 0.565594 2.022380 4.988832 10.477368
2026-04-26 NaN 6.576461e-05 0.061292 0.542741 2.035886 5.146072 10.978072
2026-05-03 NaN 2.911104e-05 0.060842 0.568014 2.171180 5.540111 11.889946
2026-05-10 NaN 3.149015e-06 0.055716 0.569360 2.245478 5.819289 12.612388
2026-05-17 NaN 1.850533e-06 0.059145 0.614336 2.436278 6.330946 13.744856
2026-05-24 NaN 1.452676e-07 0.059014 0.641155 2.581182 6.757116 14.738247
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.055114 0.646771 2.670282 7.076481 15.553569